Auston Matthews vs Joe Pavelski

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 53.9% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor Pavelski leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone Matthews 55.1%
Defensive zone Pavelski 51.5%
Neutral zone Matthews 50.3%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Matthews Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 13 (21 meetings)
8
13
Matthews Pavelski
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Pavelski

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
4
Matthews Pavelski
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
7
Matthews Pavelski
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Matthews Pavelski
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.6% (8,791)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
58.2% (2,122)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
50.9% (1,138)
-1.1%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pavelski
Home
56.3% (5,065)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Matthews
Pavelski
P1
55.5%
53.5%
P2
53.3%
55.2%
P3
52.8%
53.9%
OT
56.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
53.9%
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
54.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 7, 2024 2 08:46 Offensive Auston Matthews
Feb 7, 2024 2 08:38 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Oct 26, 2023 1 09:38 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Oct 20, 2022 1 14:57 Offensive Auston Matthews
Oct 20, 2022 1 12:21 Neutral Auston Matthews
Apr 7, 2022 3 07:04 Offensive Auston Matthews
Apr 7, 2022 2 06:22 Offensive Auston Matthews
Jan 29, 2020 3 03:58 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 29, 2020 2 12:09 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 29, 2020 2 04:13 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 28, 2018 3 10:46 Offensive Auston Matthews
Nov 28, 2018 3 05:53 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 28, 2018 1 09:28 Offensive Auston Matthews
Oct 30, 2017 3 19:30 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Oct 30, 2017 3 13:51 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Feb 28, 2017 3 14:07 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Feb 28, 2017 3 07:26 Offensive Auston Matthews
Feb 28, 2017 1 18:17 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Feb 28, 2017 1 07:07 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 13, 2016 2 08:23 Neutral Joe Pavelski