Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 40.7% vs Pavelski 51.8% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 78.2%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 81.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 81.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Roslovic
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Roslovic
Pavelski
Last 10: Roslovic 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Roslovic
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Roslovic
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (542)
53.5% (508)
-14.9%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
51.7% (118)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
41.4% (70)
+8.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Roslovic is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Roslovic shoots right. Pavelski is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Pavelski
Home
39.6% (293)
54.3% (372)
Away
38.7% (300)
49.4% (324)
By Period
Roslovic
Pavelski
P1
40.0%
48.7%
P2
34.7%
57.7%
P3
42.2%
50.2%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
34.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
39.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |