Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Benn wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs Pavelski 51.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 87.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 84.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 83.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Benn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Benn
Pavelski
Last 10: Benn 2-8 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
8
Benn
Pavelski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
5
Benn
Pavelski
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
50.4% (480)
-2.6%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
51.5% (97)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
60.2% (83)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
51.4% (317)
53.1% (311)
Away
41.8% (392)
50.7% (349)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
42.7%
55.4%
P2
45.4%
49.6%
P3
50.4%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |