Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.5% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 80.7%
Defensive zone
Benn 64.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 74.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Benn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Benn
Pavelski
Last 7: Benn 2-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Benn
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (362)
55.0% (785)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.8% (178)
62.7% (201)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
52.2% (161)
-5.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
56.9% (304)
58.1% (580)
Away
46.0% (272)
53.8% (567)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
50.8%
53.4%
P2
49.0%
58.6%
P3
54.6%
56.4%
OT
70.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |