Joe Pavelski vs Jonathan Toews

2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jonathan Toews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 54.5% vs Toews 58.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor Toews leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone Pavelski 62.3%
Defensive zone Pavelski 61.7%
Neutral zone Pavelski 63.1%
Result Joe Pavelski favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Pavelski Toews
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 16 (24 meetings)
8
16
Pavelski Toews
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Toews

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
5
Pavelski Toews
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
7
Pavelski Toews
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
4
Pavelski Toews
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pavelski
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (657)
58.2% (1,200)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.2% (221)
62.8% (250)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
53.7% (123)
-2.0%
On even strength, Toews has a +4.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Pavelski shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Toews
Home
57.4% (470)
59.8% (805)
Away
52.6% (468)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Pavelski
Toews
P1
53.4%
60.2%
P2
55.6%
60.7%
P3
55.5%
55.9%
OT
62.5%
44.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
61.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
55.0%
Toews
52.0%
58.0%
58.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 9, 2016 3 16:48 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Feb 9, 2016 3 14:36 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Feb 9, 2016 3 08:29 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Feb 9, 2016 2 18:12 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Feb 9, 2016 2 04:11 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Feb 9, 2016 1 12:50 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Feb 9, 2016 1 08:18 Neutral Jonathan Toews
Dec 20, 2015 OT 00:00 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Dec 20, 2015 3 17:24 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Dec 20, 2015 3 02:30 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Dec 20, 2015 2 18:59 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Dec 20, 2015 2 09:00 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 20, 2015 2 06:33 Neutral Jonathan Toews
Dec 20, 2015 2 00:53 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 20, 2015 1 16:10 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 20, 2015 1 10:40 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 20, 2015 1 00:48 Neutral Jonathan Toews
Nov 25, 2015 2 19:50 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Nov 25, 2015 2 19:28 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Nov 25, 2015 2 10:51 Offensive Jonathan Toews