Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.8% vs Staal 57.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 63.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 75.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Pavelski
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
25
(39 meetings)
14
25
Pavelski
Staal
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
11
Pavelski
Staal
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
11
Pavelski
Staal
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Pavelski
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (508)
57.2% (780)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.7% (118)
71.3% (171)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
45.5% (132)
-4.1%
On power play, Staal has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Pavelski shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Staal
Home
54.3% (372)
57.6% (566)
Away
49.4% (324)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Pavelski
Staal
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
57.7%
58.5%
P3
50.2%
60.6%
OT
44.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |