Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 74.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Pavelski
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
51.6% (126)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
50.0% (2)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
39.2% (51)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Jankowski
Home
55.0% (391)
45.3% (64)
Away
49.7% (360)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Pavelski
Jankowski
P1
50.8%
53.7%
P2
55.0%
45.8%
P3
52.0%
43.4%
Final 5 min
56.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%