Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 79.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 74.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Pavelski
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pavelski
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Pavelski
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
58.6% (273)
-6.3%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
66.7% (3)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
43.3% (67)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Jankowski
Home
54.2% (360)
54.7% (128)
Away
52.6% (329)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Pavelski
Jankowski
P1
54.5%
54.5%
P2
56.7%
56.5%
P3
50.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |