Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Scheifele 43.9% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 92.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 85.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 90.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Pavelski
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Pavelski
Scheifele
Last 7: Pavelski 6-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (643)
43.9% (1,136)
+7.4%
Power Play
58.1% (172)
43.0% (237)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
38.6% (88)
+7.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Pavelski is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Pavelski shoots right. Scheifele is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Scheifele
Home
53.8% (431)
45.3% (739)
Away
51.1% (425)
41.6% (722)
By Period
Pavelski
Scheifele
P1
48.4%
45.6%
P2
52.0%
42.6%
P3
55.6%
42.8%
OT
80.0%
26.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |