Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 51.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Pavelski
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pavelski
Scheifele
Last 7: Pavelski 3-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Pavelski
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
49.3% (649)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
55.7% (183)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
50.0% (16)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Scheifele
Home
55.0% (391)
52.3% (440)
Away
49.7% (360)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Pavelski
Scheifele
P1
50.8%
52.3%
P2
55.0%
50.4%
P3
52.0%
51.4%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |