Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 91.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 82.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Pavelski
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pavelski
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
47.8% (960)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
47.0% (219)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
60.7% (28)
+1.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Scheifele
Home
54.2% (360)
50.7% (611)
Away
52.6% (329)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Pavelski
Scheifele
P1
54.5%
51.4%
P2
56.7%
47.3%
P3
50.8%
45.0%
OT
30.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |