Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Scheifele 46.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 93.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 85.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Pavelski
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Pavelski
Scheifele
Last 10: Pavelski 8-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
1
Pavelski
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
46.0% (1,277)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
50.4% (339)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
37.5% (120)
+4.2%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Pavelski is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pavelski shoots right. Scheifele is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Scheifele
Home
55.2% (458)
49.0% (836)
Away
51.4% (531)
43.7% (900)
By Period
Pavelski
Scheifele
P1
54.0%
46.4%
P2
54.5%
46.0%
P3
50.5%
46.9%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |