Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 52.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 68.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Pavelski
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pavelski
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Pavelski
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
53.9% (193)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
49.2% (65)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
100.0% (1)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Duchene
Home
54.2% (360)
54.9% (113)
Away
52.6% (329)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Pavelski
Duchene
P1
54.5%
54.9%
P2
56.7%
52.7%
P3
50.8%
51.9%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |