Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 52.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Pavelski
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
56.5% (566)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
61.3% (62)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
22.2% (9)
+6.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Duchene
Home
53.1% (339)
56.6% (318)
Away
49.2% (356)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Pavelski
Duchene
P1
53.8%
57.2%
P2
47.8%
55.1%
P3
50.2%
55.6%
OT
71.4%
81.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%