Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 61.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Pavelski
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pavelski
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
54.0% (955)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
55.6% (243)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
35.0% (140)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Zibanejad
Home
55.0% (391)
55.2% (656)
Away
49.7% (360)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Pavelski
Zibanejad
P1
50.8%
56.3%
P2
55.0%
50.0%
P3
52.0%
51.2%
OT
25.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |