Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.3%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Bonino 53.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 90.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 65.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Pavelski
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Pavelski
Bonino
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
1
Pavelski
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Bonino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
56.4% (771)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
60.0% (30)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
43.8% (169)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bonino
Home
56.1% (421)
56.5% (531)
Away
53.9% (490)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Pavelski
Bonino
P1
57.1%
56.7%
P2
55.8%
48.1%
P3
52.5%
58.0%
OT
44.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
60.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |