Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Bonino 50.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Pavelski
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pavelski
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Pavelski
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Pavelski
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
51.8% (305)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
48.5% (101)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bonino
Home
53.1% (339)
53.1% (177)
Away
49.2% (356)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Pavelski
Bonino
P1
53.8%
55.9%
P2
47.8%
49.6%
P3
50.2%
47.6%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |