Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Foligno 51.8% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 63.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 54.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Pavelski
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
58.1% (31)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
50.0% (2)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
50.0% (6)
-5.6%
On even strength, Foligno has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Foligno
Home
55.0% (391)
56.3% (16)
Away
49.7% (360)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Pavelski
Foligno
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
66.7%
P3
52.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.2%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%