Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Foligno 52.3% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 60.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 51.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Pavelski
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
52.0% (50)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
66.7% (21)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
0.0% (1)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Foligno
Home
54.2% (360)
51.2% (41)
Away
52.6% (329)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Pavelski
Foligno
P1
54.5%
55.6%
P2
56.7%
48.0%
P3
50.8%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%