Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Paul 53.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 51.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 52.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Pavelski
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pavelski
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Pavelski
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
53.1% (710)
-1.6%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
57.3% (199)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
58.0% (69)
-29.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Paul
Home
53.1% (339)
56.0% (466)
Away
49.2% (356)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Pavelski
Paul
P1
53.8%
57.2%
P2
47.8%
54.9%
P3
50.2%
51.5%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Nick Paul |