Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 59.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 52.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Pavelski
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
42.9% (133)
+9.6%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
55.1% (89)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
47.1% (17)
-2.7%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Schmaltz
Home
55.0% (391)
41.6% (125)
Away
49.7% (360)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Pavelski
Schmaltz
P1
50.8%
40.0%
P2
55.0%
59.5%
P3
52.0%
45.0%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%