Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 60.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Pavelski
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
37.7% (53)
+14.6%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
40.9% (44)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
66.7% (3)
-4.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Schmaltz
Home
54.2% (360)
34.7% (49)
Away
52.6% (329)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Pavelski
Schmaltz
P1
54.5%
25.9%
P2
56.7%
46.2%
P3
50.8%
42.1%
OT
30.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%