Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Hischier 43.6% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 72.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 70.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 70.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Pavelski
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pavelski
Hischier
Last 7: Pavelski 2-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Pavelski
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Pavelski
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
42.4% (912)
+10.8%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
51.2% (43)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
46.4% (28)
+8.9%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Hischier is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Hischier
Home
56.1% (421)
44.6% (507)
Away
53.9% (490)
41.2% (476)
By Period
Pavelski
Hischier
P1
57.1%
47.6%
P2
55.8%
39.9%
P3
52.5%
41.3%
OT
44.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
60.8%
34.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |