Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.1%). Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Hischier 51.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 50.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 61.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Pavelski
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Pavelski
Hischier
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Pavelski
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
Pavelski
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
51.0% (1,011)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
58.2% (261)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
47.7% (130)
-3.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Hischier is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Hischier
Home
55.0% (391)
52.8% (665)
Away
49.7% (360)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Pavelski
Hischier
P1
50.8%
53.8%
P2
55.0%
53.8%
P3
52.0%
49.5%
OT
25.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |