Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Hischier 56.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 68.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Pavelski
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Pavelski
Hischier
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Pavelski
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Hischier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
56.1% (1,018)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
59.9% (289)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
51.3% (80)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Hischier
Home
53.1% (339)
56.5% (706)
Away
49.2% (356)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Pavelski
Hischier
P1
53.8%
54.8%
P2
47.8%
57.8%
P3
50.2%
57.6%
OT
71.4%
14.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |