Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 58.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 52.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Pavelski
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pavelski
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Pavelski
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
57.5% (412)
-5.2%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
60.0% (65)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
44.4% (9)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Stastny
Home
54.2% (360)
58.3% (276)
Away
52.6% (329)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Pavelski
Stastny
P1
54.5%
63.7%
P2
56.7%
57.3%
P3
50.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |