Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+19.2%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 58.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Pavelski
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
36.7% (30)
+15.8%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
28.6% (7)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Buchnevich
Home
55.0% (391)
31.3% (16)
Away
49.7% (360)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Pavelski
Buchnevich
P1
50.8%
35.7%
P2
55.0%
33.3%
P3
52.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
56.2%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.3%