Who wins more faceoffs, Joe Pavelski or Pavel Buchnevich?

Joe Pavelski leads the head-to-head 9-2 across 11 faceoffs.

What is Joe Pavelski's faceoff record against Pavel Buchnevich?

Joe Pavelski is 9-2 against Pavel Buchnevich in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 3-0, Defensive 2-2, Neutral 4-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Joe Pavelski or Pavel Buchnevich?

Joe Pavelski is the predicted winner with a 97.1% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Joe Pavelski vs Pavel Buchnevich

Joe PavelskiR vs Pavel BuchnevichL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 54.1% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+20.3%)

H2H factor Pavelski leads 9-2 in 11 meetings

Offensive zone Pavelski 96.0%

Defensive zone Pavelski 97.6%

Neutral zone Pavelski 97.5%

Result Joe Pavelski favored at 97.1%

97.1%

2.9%

Pavelski Buchnevich

Head-to-Head Record

9 - 2 (11 meetings)

Pavelski Buchnevich

Last 10: Pavelski 8-2 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Pavelski

Pavelski Buchnevich

3 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Pavelski Buchnevich

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Pavelski

Pavelski Buchnevich

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Pavelski

Buchnevich

Edge

Even Strength

53.6% (8,791)

33.7% (895)

+19.9%

Power Play

58.2% (2,122)

44.2% (52)

+14.0%

Penalty Kill

50.9% (1,138)

24.3% (37)

+26.6%

On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +26.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Buchnevich shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).

Pavelski shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).

Home / Away

Pavelski

Buchnevich

Home

56.4% (5,998)

34.7% (490)

Away

52.0% (6,076)

33.2% (494)

By Period

Pavelski

Buchnevich

53.5%

34.4%

55.2%

33.7%

53.9%

33.4%

52.3%

50.0%

Final 5 min

54.4%

37.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Pavelski

62.0%▲

52.0%

54.2%

Buchnevich

36.0%▼

38.5%

33.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 17, 2024	3	03:22	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Dec 27, 2023	3	05:16	Neutral	Joe Pavelski
Apr 13, 2023	3	02:41	Defensive	Joe Pavelski
Apr 13, 2023	3	00:00	Neutral	Joe Pavelski
Apr 13, 2023	2	11:58	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Apr 13, 2023	1	15:42	Defensive	Joe Pavelski
Apr 12, 2023	3	00:22	Neutral	Joe Pavelski
Apr 12, 2023	2	17:47	Defensive	Pavel Buchnevich
Apr 12, 2023	2	14:36	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Apr 12, 2023	2	00:35	Defensive	Pavel Buchnevich
Apr 12, 2023	1	05:49	Neutral	Joe Pavelski

Pavelski's Profile | Buchnevich's Profile