Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Holmberg 44.8% (+10.9%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 53.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Pavelski
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
42.5% (207)
+9.8%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
40.0% (10)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
50.0% (2)
+12.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Holmberg is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Holmberg
Home
54.2% (360)
40.9% (127)
Away
52.6% (329)
44.6% (92)
By Period
Pavelski
Holmberg
P1
54.5%
47.8%
P2
56.7%
43.8%
P3
50.8%
37.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%