Joe Pavelski vs Pontus Holmberg
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Holmberg 46.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.9%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 52.4%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 51.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Pavelski
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pavelski
Holmberg
Last 6: Pavelski 3-3 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
3
Pavelski
Holmberg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
45.5% (673)
+8.1%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
52.4% (21)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
45.9% (61)
+5.0%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Holmberg is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Holmberg
Home
56.4% (5,998)
46.7% (418)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Pavelski
Holmberg
P1
53.5%
53.5%
P2
55.2%
41.1%
P3
53.9%
42.5%
OT
52.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |