Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Strome 45.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 81.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 76.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 83.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Pavelski
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pavelski
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Pavelski
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Pavelski
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
44.1% (749)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
46.2% (52)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
52.9% (17)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Strome
Home
55.0% (391)
45.1% (441)
Away
49.7% (360)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Pavelski
Strome
P1
50.8%
42.9%
P2
55.0%
44.4%
P3
52.0%
45.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |