Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Strome 46.8% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Strome 57.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Pavelski
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
46.4% (371)
+5.1%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
43.3% (97)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
55.6% (18)
-27.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Pavelski shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Strome
Home
53.1% (339)
47.6% (225)
Away
49.2% (356)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Pavelski
Strome
P1
53.8%
45.4%
P2
47.8%
47.6%
P3
50.2%
45.2%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%