Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Strome 44.4% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 76.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 67.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 66.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Pavelski
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
43.0% (788)
+9.3%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
47.9% (96)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
50.0% (34)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Strome
Home
54.2% (360)
42.6% (486)
Away
52.6% (329)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Pavelski
Strome
P1
54.5%
41.0%
P2
56.7%
47.8%
P3
50.8%
42.1%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |