Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +23.0% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Gagner 43.8% (+23.0%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 64.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Pavelski
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
31.0% (29)
+21.3%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
29.4% (17)
+28.1%
On power play, Pavelski has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Gagner is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Gagner
Home
54.2% (360)
36.8% (19)
Away
52.6% (329)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Pavelski
Gagner
P1
54.5%
27.8%
P2
56.7%
15.4%
P3
50.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%