Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.4%). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Crosby 52.3% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 59.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 52.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Pavelski
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
50.8% (1,169)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
60.2% (261)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
45.0% (20)
-0.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Crosby
Home
55.0% (391)
53.2% (726)
Away
49.7% (360)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Pavelski
Crosby
P1
50.8%
51.3%
P2
55.0%
52.1%
P3
52.0%
54.1%
OT
25.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
56.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%