Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Oshie 45.4% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 68.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 68.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Pavelski
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
57.7% (26)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
41.3% (138)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
0.0% (5)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Oshie is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Oshie
Home
55.0% (391)
41.0% (78)
Away
49.7% (360)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Pavelski
Oshie
P1
50.8%
42.6%
P2
55.0%
41.9%
P3
52.0%
41.8%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%