Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Oshie 47.5% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 75.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 51.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Pavelski
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
48.3% (29)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
46.3% (149)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
0.0% (2)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Oshie is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Oshie
Home
54.2% (360)
55.9% (93)
Away
52.6% (329)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Pavelski
Oshie
P1
54.5%
50.9%
P2
56.7%
42.9%
P3
50.8%
43.6%
OT
30.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%