Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +23.2% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Oshie 43.4% (+23.2%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 54.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 50.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Pavelski
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
30.0% (30)
+21.5%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
23.1% (13)
+28.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Pavelski shoots right. Oshie is 22.2% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Oshie
Home
53.1% (339)
22.2% (27)
Away
49.2% (356)
37.5% (16)
By Period
Pavelski
Oshie
P1
53.8%
28.6%
P2
47.8%
36.4%
P3
50.2%
18.2%
Final 5 min
48.6%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
27.9%