Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Nosek 58.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 84.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 88.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 65.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Pavelski
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
59.7% (469)
-7.4%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
100.0% (4)
-42.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
56.5% (124)
+6.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Nosek
Home
54.2% (360)
59.0% (295)
Away
52.6% (329)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Pavelski
Nosek
P1
54.5%
56.3%
P2
56.7%
61.9%
P3
50.8%
59.2%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |