Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 65.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 63.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Pavelski
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
56.5% (712)
-4.0%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
59.7% (67)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
44.9% (49)
-0.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Seguin
Home
55.0% (391)
58.5% (402)
Away
49.7% (360)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Pavelski
Seguin
P1
50.8%
58.4%
P2
55.0%
54.7%
P3
52.0%
54.1%
OT
25.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
56.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%