Joe Pavelski vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 36-27 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 57.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 71.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Pavelski
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
27
(63 meetings)
36
27
Pavelski
Karlsson
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
14
9
Pavelski
Karlsson
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
15
14
Pavelski
Karlsson
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
4
Pavelski
Karlsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
51.8% (7,849)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
54.8% (1,048)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
44.2% (1,109)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Karlsson
Home
56.4% (5,998)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Pavelski
Karlsson
P1
53.5%
50.3%
P2
55.2%
51.3%
P3
53.9%
52.4%
OT
52.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | OT | 04:52 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |