Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Veleno 47.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Lowry
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Veleno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Lowry
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
47.1% (420)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
100.0% (1)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
25.0% (8)
+17.7%
On power play, Veleno has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Lowry
Veleno
Home
53.0% (583)
47.8% (201)
Away
50.6% (605)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Lowry
Veleno
P1
52.1%
48.8%
P2
51.8%
47.9%
P3
52.3%
44.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |