Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Veleno 43.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 66.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 88.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Evans
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Evans
Veleno
Last 6: Evans 5-1 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
42.9% (617)
+11.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
37.5% (16)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
33.3% (18)
+10.6%
On power play, Evans has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Veleno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Evans
Veleno
Home
49.4% (336)
40.7% (327)
Away
54.8% (314)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Evans
Veleno
P1
55.8%
43.2%
P2
51.7%
42.0%
P3
48.2%
42.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |