Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Backlund 50.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 50.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Veleno
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Veleno
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
51.5% (983)
-2.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
49.4% (87)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.3% (159)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Veleno
Backlund
Home
44.0% (184)
51.6% (653)
Away
51.1% (276)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Veleno
Backlund
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
50.4%
49.8%
P3
43.9%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |