Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.4%). Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Frost 48.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 60.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 52.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Veleno
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Veleno
Frost
Last 8: Veleno 4-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Veleno
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
47.4% (426)
+1.7%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
63.9% (36)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
20.0% (5)
-3.3%
On power play, Frost has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Veleno
Frost
Home
44.0% (184)
51.1% (221)
Away
51.1% (276)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Veleno
Frost
P1
50.8%
47.5%
P2
50.4%
52.3%
P3
43.9%
44.7%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |