Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Frost 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 69.0%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.2%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Veleno
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Veleno
Frost
Last 5: Veleno 2-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Veleno
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
48.6% (704)
-0.2%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
55.7% (115)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
25.0% (4)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Veleno
Frost
Home
48.8% (289)
49.9% (399)
Away
49.2% (333)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Veleno
Frost
P1
46.1%
51.2%
P2
50.9%
53.9%
P3
49.7%
42.7%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |