Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 57.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Veleno
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Veleno
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
45.8% (755)
+3.3%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
48.3% (60)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
27.6% (29)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Veleno is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Veleno shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Veleno
MacKinnon
Home
44.0% (184)
49.5% (396)
Away
51.1% (276)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Veleno
MacKinnon
P1
50.8%
50.2%
P2
50.4%
43.8%
P3
43.9%
41.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
48.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |