Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Hartman 47.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Veleno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Veleno
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Veleno
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Veleno
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
47.1% (649)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
47.1% (68)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
45.2% (73)
-0.8%
On power play, Veleno has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Veleno shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hartman
Home
48.8% (289)
46.5% (361)
Away
49.2% (333)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Veleno
Hartman
P1
46.1%
45.1%
P2
50.9%
44.4%
P3
49.7%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |