Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 61.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 61.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Veleno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Veleno
Hartman
Last 10: Veleno 1-9 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Veleno
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Veleno
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
Veleno
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
45.2% (4,235)
+2.2%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
47.4% (443)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
42.4% (262)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hartman
Home
45.3% (1,136)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Veleno
Hartman
P1
48.0%
46.0%
P2
47.7%
42.9%
P3
45.9%
46.8%
OT
35.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |