Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 69.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 77.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 67.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Veleno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Veleno
Hartman
Last 7: Veleno 1-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Veleno
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Veleno
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Veleno
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
44.8% (830)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
37.5% (16)
+0.4%
On even strength, Veleno has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Veleno is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Veleno shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hartman
Home
49.6% (123)
45.0% (515)
Away
52.8% (178)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Veleno
Hartman
P1
54.8%
46.5%
P2
49.2%
39.9%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |